My 2 Cents Worth

It has been a long time since I posted something about all the world's current wars.  Mainly Ukraine and Israel.  About a year ago, I gave my opinion about the war in Ukraine primarily because of my opinions about the tactics and strategies. But with the two current wars, much of the politics goes deeper than the general public hears. I don't have any inside information on this. It's just my opinion. 

Ukraine, the bottom line here, it's about the equipment, supplies, and money.  Once this war started, it seemed everyone was on board with supporting their efforts, but now the bottomless pit of draining the American dollars into the war efforts does not have an endpoint. It's time to stop the funding of this war. It is mainly because it is exhausting not only dollars from our economy but is now depleting our military supplies, making us more vulnerable.

Israel, the United States, has always been in support of this small country in the Middle East. It ties with the Judo-Christian values of America as the main focus, plus it's an excellent ally to have in that region. The countries surrounding Israel are not allies with the United States.  American involvement should be limited.  Israel was attacked, and it is their war.  They seem to be advancing and have the military strength to finish. 

The United States needs to stay out of any significant conflicts.  Our economy is in a shambles.  The politicians in Washington are fighting among themselves.  The citizens have been divided politically, and morality does not exist. 

God help us all.

NATO or Not

 

NATO or not?

The question is whether World War III will begin once Ukraine joins NATO. 

My opinion is yes, without a doubt. The number of NATO countries obligated to support Ukraine, especially the United States and England, will overwhelm the Russian forces. But there is one factor to consider the Russian nuclear opinion, which Vladimir Putin will use if backed into the corner. 

The war in Ukraine has been going on for over 500 days with no clear ending. And just as the world is recovering from the pandemic, the next big worldwide catastrophe is about to happen.

So, start preparing now - food, water, medical supplies, generators, etc. Think of any you might need once supply chains are broken.  We went through it recently, and you know what you need.

Prepare now!!

Photo - pixabay - Clker-Free-Vector-Images

My Opinion - on the war in Ukraine

 

No significant change from a few months ago.  I think primarily due to the military weaponry coming into the country from all over the world. 

I do not understand why the US media has stopped reporting on this war when we send billions of funds and equipment. Does the US know something and is not telling the American people?  Are the repercussions of this silence something that would be unpopular?  Could there be some conspiracy theory? 

One thing that has caught my attention is the high level of US government officials visiting a country currently at war.  This raises concern for me.  And why would the leader of Ukraine come to the United States for a photo op with Vogue Magazine?

If your country is under a major attack by a border nation, why would one of your priorities be a photo op?

This goes deeper into an international war crime, and the US and other countries fund it.

 

The Second Front - my opinion

The war in Ukraine defines how the world reacts, responds, and the repercussions of those actions.

The recent Russian sanctioning of Poland and Bulgaria is just the beginning. Russia has clearly been the main aggressor in Ukraine, but they are turning their focus on the countries assisting Ukraine.  I think the news coverage has been just the surface of Russia's actions in their tactics.  The only way for Russia to accomplish the take-over of Ukraine is to stop the incoming military supplies. So, Russia is starting to fight a second war - the war against the allies of Ukraine.   

Ukraine - my analysis

 

What does this mean?  What is the strategic gain for attacking the city of Lviv?

My opinion and is based on the news feeds I read and some knowledge of military strategy - by no means am I an expert.

Intelligence: Russian Offensive

• Russian forces are occupying major regions in Donetsk, Luhansk, Melitopol, and Kherson regions.
• Russian forces attack on Kyiv unsuccessfully resulting in a withdraw from the region.
• Indiscriminate attacks on civilians and non-military buildings.
• Logistics - initial attacks resulted in a major supply shutdown but in recent weeks logistic issues seemed to have been resolved.
• China is in support with finance and supplies.    

Counterintelligence: Ukraine Defense

• Countries that support Ukraine are increasing their military aid.
• Russia has made threats of major attacks if supporting countries continue to aid Ukraine.

• Poland is the primary logistical hub for supplies and refugees.
• Ukraine applies to enter into the European Union but will not join NATO.

Based on the intelligence, here is my analysis:

•  The attack on Lviv is a distraction in two ways.
• first - Eastern Ukraine offensive will increase.
• second - the region around Lviv will see an increase in long-range artillery attacks with a possible bombardment into Poland to draw NATO forces to attack in defense of the border between Poland and Ukraine.
• The attacks in Eastern and Western Ukraine will result in the Ukraine military being forced to defend those regions and leaving the middle region with limited defenses included Kyiv the capitol city which was the Russia's first objective. 

This week will be a critical time to watch the movement of Russia troops. If satellite images indicate Russian activity on the Nothern border of Ukraine an attack on Kyiv will be inevitable.        

   

Zelensky - an opinion

 I watched President Zelensky speak to the US Congress.

I have mixed opinions about the situation. On one side I feel the humanitarian aspect to help those in dire need. The US has always been the go-to country for aid to those in need either by disasters or any other high casualty situation.  

On the other side is, any assistance beyond what we are already doing will clearly draw the United States into WW III. In the most recent wars, the US has fought many years to defeat a single country.  The possibility of WW III will bring us into a war fought on multiple fronts including air and naval battles with not only Russia, but China, Iran, and North Korea, and all of these countries have nuclear capabilities.

The only resolve to this situation, if we agree to the no-fly zone, which will then fully commit us to fight Russia and their allies - the strength of the United States military will have to combine forces with our allies in Europe. The added military muscle of our allies would absolutely crush Russia.     

WW III would be catastrophe to the world. The advanced weapons technology systems of today would make the casualty rate much higher than WW II.  The United States would have to activate the military draft system, for casualty replacements and this would now include women.

I pray to God this will end soon.     

NATO and Ukraine

There is too much going on in the world. It's one thing to see a country going through troubling times, but when their troubles become ours and the world then that's a problem. Putin has said if anyone interferes with his attack on Ukraine, they will suffer consequences.   

The war in Ukraine is influencing countries world-wide from financial markets to the price of oil. Putin needs to be stopped now. The countries that surround Ukraine are not strong enough to defend themselves so, they will rely on NATO which the United States is a member.  Those border countries are Belarus, Poland, Slovakia, Hungary, Romania and Moldova. If Russia fires rounds into any bordering NATO country or advances his forces, it will activate Article 5 of the NATO alliance.

NATO Article 5 highlights:

• Collective defense means that an attack against one Ally is considered as an attack against all Allies.

• NATO invoked Article 5 for the first time in its history after the 9/11 terrorist attacks against the United States.

• NATO has taken collective defense measures on several occasions, for instance in response to the situation in Syria and in the wake of the Russia-Ukraine crisis.

• NATO has standing forces on active duty that contribute to the Alliance’s collective defense efforts on a permanent basis.

NATO - Homepage

If Russia advances into any NATO country, it will be the beginning of World War III.  I have stated this many times in previous post and I pray it doesn't happen.